Tag: Futures

2 key Bitcoin trading indicators suggest BTC is ready for a 62% upside move
Bitcoin

2 key Bitcoin trading indicators suggest BTC is ready for a 62% upside move

Bitcoin (BTC) has been below $45,000 for 14 days and is currently 40% below the $69,000 all-time high. This movement holds similarities to late-September 2021, when Bitcoin price flat-lined for 11 days and was 36% below the previous $64,900 all-time high on April 14.Bitcoin price at Coinbase, USD. Source: TradingViewTo understand whether the current price momentum mimics late September, traders should start by analyzing the Bitcoin futures contracts premium, which is also known as "basis." Unlike a perpetual contract, these fixed-calendar futures do not have a funding rate, so their price will differ vastly from regular spot exchanges.By measuring the expense gap between futures and the regular spot market, a trader can gauge the level of bullishness in the market. Excessive optimism from ...
Bitcoin price can’t find its footing, but BTC fundamentals inspire confidence in traders
Altcoins

Bitcoin price can’t find its footing, but BTC fundamentals inspire confidence in traders

Bitcoin’s (BTC) sudden crash on Jan. 10 caused the price to trade below $40,000 for the first time in 110 days and this was a wake-up call to leveraged traders. $1.9 billion worth of long (buy) futures contracts were liquidated that week, causing the morale among traders to plunge.The crypto "Fear & Greed" index, which ranges from 0 "extreme fear" to 100 "greed" reached 10 on Jan. 10, the lowest level it has been since the Mar. 2020 crash. The indicator measures traders' sentiment using historical volatility, market momentum, volume, Bitcoin dominance and social media.As usual, the panic turned out to be a buying opportunity because the total crypto market capitalization rose by 13.5%, going from a $1.85 trillion bottom to $2.1 trillion in less than three days. Currently, investors see...
5 ways derivatives could change the cryptocurrency sector in 2022
Altcoins

5 ways derivatives could change the cryptocurrency sector in 2022

We‘ve all heard stories of billion-dollar future contracts liquidations being the cause of 25% intraday price crashes in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) but the truth is, the industry has been plagued by 100x leverage instruments since BitMEX launched its perpetual futures contract in May 2016.The derivatives industry goes far beyond these retail-driven instruments, as institutional clients, mutual funds, market makers and professional traders can benefit from using the instrument‘s hedging capabilities. In April 2020, Renaissance Technologies, a $130 billion hedge fund, received the green light to invest in Bitcoin futures markets using instruments listed at the CME. These trading mammoths are nothing like retail crypto traders, instead they focus on arbitrage and non-directional risk expos...
Crypto regulation is coming, but Bitcoin traders are still buying the dip
Bitcoin

Crypto regulation is coming, but Bitcoin traders are still buying the dip

Looking at the Bitcoin chart from a weekly or daily perspective presents a bearish outlook and it's clear that (BTC) price has been consistently making lower lows since hitting an all-time high at $69,000.Bitcoin/USD on FTX. Source: TradingViewCuriously, the Nov. 10 price peak happened right as the United States announced that inflation has hit a 30-year high, but, the mood quickly reversed after fears related to China-based real estate developer Evergrande defaulting on its loans. This appears to have impacted the broader market structure. Traders are still afraid of stablecoin regulation This initial corrective phase was quickly followed by relentless pressure from regulators and policy makers on stablecoin issuers. First came VanEck's spot Bitcoin ETF rejection by the U.S. Securities an...
Here’s why Ethereum traders could care less about ETH’s current weakness
Altcoins

Here’s why Ethereum traders could care less about ETH’s current weakness

Since hitting an all-time high at $4,870 on Nov. 10, Ether (ETH) price has been posting lower lows over the past 50 days. If this downtrend continues, the lower trendline support suggests that the altcoin will bottom at $3,600. Still, derivatives data is signaling that pro traders are not concerned about the seemingly bearish market structure.Ether/USD price on FTX. Source: TradingViewNotice how the price peaks are getting lower on the 12-hour time frame as mounting regulatory concerns drive investors away from the sector. In a press conference on Dec. 17, Russia's Central Bank governor, Elvira Nabiullina, stated that banning crypto in the country is "quite doable."Nabiullina cited crypto's frequent use for illegal operations and significant risks for retail investors. Russian President Vl...
Data shows pro traders are currently more bullish on Ethereum than Bitcoin
Altcoins

Data shows pro traders are currently more bullish on Ethereum than Bitcoin

Most traders have noticed that Ether (ETH) price has seriously outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) for months now and the ETH/BTC ratio has rallied more than 230% in 2021 and recently hit a new high at 0.089 BTC on Dec. 9. ETH/BTC pair at Coinbase. Source: TradingViewTo put things in perspective, Ether's $490 billion market capitalization currently represents 54% of Bitcoin's $903 billion. This ratio finished 2020 at a mere 15%, so it is safe to conclude that some 'flippening' has occurred. It might still be far from what Ethereum-maximalists imagined, but it is still quite a respectable run.Instead of analyzing the rationale for the move or, even worse, predicting the outcome based on some loose expectations, analysts should explore the market structure of each coin individually. For example,...
Bitcoin and altcoins took a hit, but derivatives data reflects a calmer market
Altcoins

Bitcoin and altcoins took a hit, but derivatives data reflects a calmer market

Looking at the winners and losers of the past week clearly shows that traders endured some serious heat as the total crypto market capitalization dropped by 12.7% when Bitcoin fell to $41,000. This sharp downside move knocked the figure from $2.37 trillion to $1.92 trillion on Dec. 3 and a total of $2 billion long future contracts were liquidated.Top winners and losers from top 80 coins. Source: NomicsBitcoin (BTC) price retraced 14.6% over the past week, effectively underperforming the broader altcoin market. Part of this unusual movement can be explained by the performance seen in decentralized applications which held up better than most of the market. Data shows Ether (ETH) traded down 6.0%, Binance Coin (BNB) lost 7.3% and Solana (SOL) dropped by 7.8%.This week's top gainers include OK...
CME Group launches micro Ether futures as ETH hovers at $4K
Etherium

CME Group launches micro Ether futures as ETH hovers at $4K

Major derivatives marketplace Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group has expanded its crypto offerings to include a micro Ether futures product.In a Monday announcement, the CME Group said it had launched a micro Ether (ETH) futures contract sized at 0.1 ETH, giving institutional and individual traders another product for Ether exposure. The cash-settled micro ETH derivatives offering is trading under the Globex code METZ1 and joins crypto derivatives products at the exchange including micro Bitcoin (BTC) futures, Bitcoin futures, options on Bitcoin futures and Ether futures. The newest member of the CME Group cryptocurrency product family has arrived. Micro Ether futures are available for trading. https://t.co/bJoZWA7qZz— CME Group (@CMEGroup) December 6, 2021Tim McCourt, CME Group’s global he...
Key data points suggest the crypto market’s short-term correction is over
Etherium

Key data points suggest the crypto market’s short-term correction is over

The performance of cryptocurrencies in the past seven days might have seemed slightly unexciting, especially since the total market capitalization increased by “only” 1.8% to reach $2.7 trillion. However, even with the muted price action, some altcoins managed a decent rally. Bitcoin (BTC), on the other hand, was down 6% until Nov. 28, but it still managed to close the week up 1.5% after a $3,200 rally that night. Winners and losers from the top 80 coins. Source: NomicsMetaverse tokens are still pushing to new highsThe metaverse sector continued to outperform with Gala (GALA), The Sandbox (SAND) and Decentraland (MANA) among the top five gainers. While few play-to-earn and metaverse “environments” are available for true interaction, major news and partnerships are still boosting these...
Bitcoin drops below $54K, stocks sell-off after new COVID-19 variant emerges
Bitcoin

Bitcoin drops below $54K, stocks sell-off after new COVID-19 variant emerges

Crypto exchange Deribit is the absolute leader in the Bitcoin (BTC) options markets, and on Nov. 24, the 25% delta skew indicator signaled that sentiment among pro traders was becoming “more bearish overall.”We've seen 25-Delta put skew moved from around 0% to almost 10-15% pending time to expiry since beginning of Nov implying a more bearish overall sentiment. Premiums for downward protection are getting more expensive.In the short term, this expiry has a Max pain of $58k. https://t.co/jhpT1riX3g— Deribit (@DeribitExchange) November 24, 2021Bitcoin price appears to following a descending channel since Nov. 9, so a “bearish” signal might be a reflection of the 22% drop since the $69,000 all-time high.Bitcoin/USD price on Bitstamp. Source: TradingViewThe 25% delta skew compares call (buy) a...